1-23-10 NOW:OK/TX/AR

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms from portions of OK/TX into the mid MS valley today. TOR prob at 2%.

Currenly, a squall line of showers and thundershowers extends all the way from MN to sw TX. It is this line that will be the focus for severe weather later today in the discussed area.

There have been no reports of severe weather associated with this squall line as of yet.

Mesoscale discussion issued for TX. Watch unlikely at this time.

TSTM INTENSITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS PARTS OF NW TX AND
PERHAPS INTO FAR SRN OK THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. AN ISOLD STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUST OR TWO IS
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH A THREAT FOR PRIMARILY SUB-SEVERE HAIL. A WW IS
UNLIKELY.

New MD out concerning the Sabine River Valley and into AR.

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY NEWD TO SERN AR / NWRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 232203Z - 232300Z

THE THREAT FOR STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS APPEARS TO BE INCREASING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY NEWD INTO SERN AR AND
POSSIBLY FURTHER E INTO PARTS OF NWRN MS. A WW MAY NEED TO BE
CONSIDERED IF STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND ORGANIZE.

Marble size hail reported in Texarkana, AR at 4:16pm CST

Strong thunderstorms affecting Cotton County, OK/Clay and Wichita Counties in TX.

AT 519 PM CST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM FROM 5 MILES
NORTH OF IOWA PARK TO SOUTHWESTERN WICHITA FALLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH...
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.